Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 12.873366 14.748307 16.748676 19.035860 21.572576 24.293780 27.427473
2025-11-02 9.959843 12.431200 15.248945 18.677214 22.712084 27.286016 32.837828
2025-11-09 8.131489 10.854729 14.123245 18.290767 23.414979 29.459477 37.074025
2025-11-16 6.829602 9.668545 13.230432 17.955889 23.981230 31.323517 40.853833
2025-11-23 5.737477 8.581925 12.300355 17.414974 24.152392 32.601407 43.858016
2025-11-30 5.090238 7.993834 11.928675 17.512300 25.074091 34.788242 48.013862
2025-12-07 4.540916 7.469025 11.573830 17.569643 25.898478 36.834427 52.016134
2025-12-14 4.113325 7.066341 11.338702 17.747405 26.857499 39.056700 56.288609
2025-12-21 3.702960 6.640473 11.023687 17.769944 27.573861 40.949077 60.153168
2025-12-28 3.458350 6.443603 11.021241 18.226778 28.899912 43.695552 65.236561
2026-01-04 3.205424 6.204378 10.928767 18.530557 30.000971 46.148287 69.971928
2026-01-11 2.927534 5.892804 10.694368 18.593544 30.735280 48.090505 74.034346
2026-01-18 2.562839 5.396520 10.131245 18.117753 30.650195 48.869598 76.501672
2026-01-25 2.267048 4.989031 9.677675 17.778419 30.742129 49.891272 79.328747
2026-02-01 2.000851 4.604228 9.227490 17.407386 30.752458 50.773322 81.956332
2026-02-08 1.773490 4.265965 8.827118 17.085828 30.811991 51.712599 84.673412
2026-02-15 1.543479 3.893148 8.332027 16.566520 30.518989 52.091945 86.549775
2026-02-22 1.421712 3.728453 8.200510 16.659950 31.215867 53.996572 90.751167
2026-03-01 1.306593 3.563789 8.054526 16.714999 31.843978 55.803919 94.840952
2026-03-08 1.215583 3.441135 7.977840 16.885658 32.665726 57.930452 99.463082
2026-03-15 1.116150 3.286726 7.825942 16.907297 33.229229 59.656152 103.499415
2026-03-22 1.068026 3.247175 7.899024 17.345941 34.520766 62.575654 109.456281
2026-03-29 1.008646 3.173110 7.895468 17.637668 35.563113 65.115055 114.867851